Weekend polling update: Romney still leads in S.C., but Gingrich gaining ground

Public Policy Polling released results Friday that show Mitt Romney is still the leader among likely voters for South Carolina’s Jan. 21 Republican presidential primary.

“Mitt Romney continues to hold a modest lead in South Carolina’s Republican primary for President. He’s at 29 percent (compared) to 24 percent for Newt Gingrich. … Romney is down 1 point from his pre-New Hampshire standing, while Gingrich has gained a point.”

  • Others receiving votes
  • Ron Paul: 15 percent
  • Rick Santorum: 14 percent
  • Rick Perry: 6 percent
  • Jon Huntsman Jr.: 5 percent
  • Buddy Roemer: 1 percent

Rasmussen Reports also released South Carolina GOP polling data Friday that “finds Romney ahead with 28 percent support, but now former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is in second place with 21 percent of the vote.”

  • Others receiving votes
  • Paul: 16 percent
  • Santorum: 16 percent
  • Perry: 6 percent
  • Huntsman: 5 percent

Finally, New York Times elections guru Nate Silver issued new poll-based projections Friday afternoon for the Jan. 21 South Carolina presidential primary. Silver’s forecast:

  1. Romney: 29.5 percent of votes (67 percent chance of winning)
  2. Gingrich: 24.6 percent of votes (27 percent chance of winning)
  3. Paul: 18 percent of votes (4 percent chance of winning)
  4. Santorum: 14.1 percent of votes (1 percent chance of winning)
  5. Perry: 7.3 percent of votes (0 percent chance of winning)
  6. Huntsman: 5.3 percent of votes (0 percent chance of winning)

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